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Pre-Market Trading Highlights | Trump hints at willingness to negotiate on tariffs! All three major Equity Index futures in the USA have risen over 2%.
1. The three major Equity Index futures in the USA rebounded, with Nasdaq futures rising 2.45%, S&P 500 Index futures increasing by 2.52%, and Dow futures gaining 2.79%.
Wall Street's Fear Gauge Falls as Hopes for Trade Negotiations Rise
EU's Von Der Leyen Talks With China's PM of Potential Oversupply of Goods Amid Trade War
The dilemma faced by Powell is the same as the market: "Schrödinger's Trump."
Should the economy be stimulated through interest rate cuts, or should high interest rates be maintained to curb potential inflation risks? Analysis suggests that under the uncertainty of tariff policies, the Federal Reserve cannot predict what Trump will do, much like the dilemma faced by the market: if he maintains tariffs as stated, the economy could rapidly shrink, and the S&P 500 Index may fall into a bear market; however, if tariffs are lifted, the economy may experience renewed growth, and the stock market could return to historic highs.
Hedge fund giants are hotly discussing this tariff formula, and Trump's formula is incorrect by a factor of four, which also explains the significant drop in the US stock market.
According to analysis by the American Enterprise Institute, the U.S. government currently mistakenly equates trade deficits with other countries' 'tariff barriers.' Incorrect pricing and elasticity data have led to an overestimation of foreign 'implicit tariffs' by four times. Some commentators suggest that this formula may not have been designed for scientific calculation from the outset, but rather as an 'extreme pressure' strategy against trading partners to create stronger negotiation leverage.
Musk Made Direct Appeals to Trump to Reverse New Tariffs, Washington Post Reports
