TLT250425C82000
- 6.76
- +0.48+7.64%
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
Is It Time to Buy U.S. Treasuries on the Dip?
Tesla welcomes a major policy package: the USA plans to relax regulations on autonomous driving.
On April 25, reports stated that the USA government will relax regulations on autonomous driving, reducing the originally cumbersome accident reporting process, allowing non-commercial test vehicles to skip certain compliance procedures. This move is seen as the USA's largest deregulation regarding autonomous driving, directly addressing the core demand for Tesla, and giving the green light for Musk's plan to launch the Cybercab autonomous taxi fleet in Texas this June.
Did Trump's "surrender" have a lot to do with the "U.S. debt vigilantes"?
Under the strong pressure of US Treasury yields soaring to 5%, the "Bond vigilantes" successfully "forced a halt" to Trump's tariff policy. Trump admitted: "The bond market is very tricky, I have been monitoring it." Ed Yardeni stated that this is yet another victory for the "Bond vigilantes."
Trump's 'war' with the Federal Reserve has permanently damaged the credit of U.S. bonds.
Concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve have led investors to intensify the selling of U.S. Treasuries, questioning the credibility of Treasuries as a safe-haven asset. Analysts point out that if the Federal Reserve shifts to a more lenient stance on inflation as Trump desires, or if Trump prematurely nominates a 'shadow chairman' to intervene in monetary policy, the Treasury market will decline further.
U.S. Quarterly Refunding Meeting Could Be Positive for Issuance Outlook -- Market Talk
New Federal Reserve News Agency: Trump has made it "harder" for the next Federal Reserve chairman.
The market worries that Trump's public belittling and pressure on Powell will leave an indelible "original sin" for Powell's successor. Regardless of who the next chairman is, the independence of the Federal Reserve will be in question. An independent central bank is often seen as more objective and professional, making its decisions more likely to guide market expectations and stabilize the economy. Since President Clinton's era, most U.S. presidents have adopted a stance of "non-interference" with the Federal Reserve.
How Bond Vigilantes Made Trump Blink
Regarding interest rate cuts! Several Federal Reserve officials have spoken out, with possible action as early as June.
① On Thursday local time, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester ruled out the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate cut in May but hinted at a possible cut in June; ② On the same day, several Federal Reserve officials publicly discussed the matter of rate cuts. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller also stated that he would support a Federal Reserve rate cut if there is a significant rise in the unemployment rate.
The U.S. Treasury's 7-year bond auction was lackluster, with the problem still lying in overseas demand.
The portion of indirect bids representing overseas demand only secured 59.3% of the total allocation, down from March's 61.2%, marking the lowest level since December 2021. This marks the second consecutive auction of the 7-year bond to experience a tail. Analysts say that if foreign demand really collapses, the Federal Reserve will have no choice but to intervene and start monetizing these government bonds.
Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for April 24
Fed's Waller Says Policymakers Can 'Look Through' One-Time Price Increases
China Calls on Trump to Drop Tariffs; Says Talks Are 'Fake News'
US Companies Stock Up Ahead of Tariffs, Boosting Durable-Goods Orders
Treasury Yields, Dollar Fall as Trade Worries Loom -- Market Talk
March US Durable Goods New Orders Post Much Larger-Than-Expected Gain, Lifted by Transporation Surge
The USA debt crisis is approaching, and BTC will reach a new high again.
An imbalanced world of policies, a world where trust is scarce, a world where debt is monetized - these are the main sources of Bitcoin's greatest bull market.
The long-term bear market for the US dollar has arrived! Deutsche Bank: This will have a profound impact on the Global economy and capital flows.
Deutsche Bank believes that the dollar bull market has ended and a bear market has begun. The core reasons include a decrease in the global willingness to finance the U.S. twin deficits, a peak in the holdings of U.S. Assets, and a tendency among many countries to promote growth through domestic fiscal measures. The EUR/USD Exchange Rates are expected to reach 1.15 by the end of 2025, gradually approaching 1.30 thereafter.
Is Recession 'Inevitable'? Markets Say Don't Be so Sure.
Flipping out faster than flipping a book? Trump once again blasts Powell: Not lowering interest rates is a mistake!
① The President of the USA, Trump, criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell again on Wednesday, accusing him of keeping interest rates too high and expressing that he might give him a call. ② Trump has recently criticized Powell multiple times and has not ruled out the possibility of firing Powell, but reportedly the Secretary of the Treasury and the Secretary of Commerce advised him against it.
Goldman Sachs: The risk of a recession in the U.S. is underestimated, focusing on China's Internet, Brokerage, and others.
Goldman Sachs predicts that the Global shipments of Smart Phones will remain flat in 2025 (1.24 billion units).