Mr Value investor
OP
:
I mean with recession fear and stocks dropping this will usually should go up. i dont if this is going create liquidity problems then people start selling whatever assets they have in hand.
War Alpaca
Mr Value investor
OP
:
"with recession fear and stocks dropping this will usually should go up" That is a wrong statement in current situation. You gotta look at TLT is "safe" asset against what risk and Gold is "safe" against what risks. In the context of a normal resession that do not impact US lead world order TLT is safe as risk hedge against stocks. In this era of tariff war, more people are afriad of impacts of US lead of world order. Plus now China/EU/Japan are very likely selling US tresuray now you will see TLT down. If you look for risk management in this situation, more gold less US tresuray
Danyerrr
:
loss of american stability and strength. loss of investor confidence especially internationally. countries like china are also selling off the treasuries and reserves now
TaishanL.
:
1. Withholding tax on interest income: TLT primarily invests in USA Treasury bonds, and the distributed income is usually regarded as interest income. According to USA tax law, interest income from USA sources paid to non-USA residents is generally exempt from withholding tax, especially in cases that meet the "portfolio interest" exemption. 2. Capital gains tax: As a non-USA resident, the capital gains obtained from selling your TLT Hold Positions are generally not subject to USA capital gains tax. 3. Estate tax: It is important to note that USA assets (such as TLT) held by non-USA residents at the time of their death may be subject to USA estate tax. Amounts exceeding the exemption may be subject to a tax rate of up to 40%.
In a sudden turn around of situations, Trump announced a 90-day pause in his reciprocal tariffs. As a result, S&P 500 posted biggest gain since 2008 after flying 9.5%. This came after we had one of the worst 2-day and 3-day losing streak where S&P500 lost more than 10%. Tech heavy Nasdaq surged 12%, and individual stocks like Tesla rocketed 22%, while Nvidia popped around 18%. This is probably why one shouldn’t short the market, especially in a news driven market like this. A sudd...
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$I feel bad for anyone who loaded the boat with this as a tail risk hedge. There were legitimate concerns I had that prevented me from buying it (including bond vigilante risk), and it appears I may have been vindicated.
4
Report
BC_76
:
any idea who holds a large amount of US bonds? if I am not wrong, it's the FED. LOL
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Following the introduction of China's groundbreaking DeepSeek technology, Wall Street giants have revised their investment outlooks for the Chinese market.
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Stock Discussion
Golden Egg (Age) in America - SuperZen Macro Blog
$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
As a result, S&P 500 posted biggest gain since 2008 after flying 9.5%. This came after we had one of the worst 2-day and 3-day losing streak where S&P500 lost more than 10%.
Tech heavy Nasdaq surged 12%, and individual stocks like Tesla rocketed 22%, while Nvidia popped around 18%.
This is probably why one shouldn’t short the market, especially in a news driven market like this. A sudd...
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