The Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy announcement will begin at 2:30 PM Eastern Time on September 18. Currently, the market widely anticipates two possible outcomes for this meeting: either a 25 basis points (BP) rate cut or a 50 basis points (BP) rate cut. So, what trading strategies can be considered for different rate cut scenarios? 1. Basic Logic: Interest Rates as the "Gravitational Pull" of Asset Prices Interes...
I. Characteristics of U.S. Extended Duration Treasury ETFs and Their Differences from Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETFs 1.1 Characteristics of U.S. Extended Duration Treasury ETFs U.S. Extended Duration Treasury ETFs primarily invest in long-term Treasury bonds, with maturities typically exceeding 20 years, and in some cases, over 30 years. Here are their main characteristics: High Sensitivity: Due to the...
Higher rates and record levels of deficit spending have destroyed bonds.Bonds are no longer the safety trade. The $39 billion iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF ($iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$) has lost 48% from its 2020 all-time high and is trading at its lowest point since 2011, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. At the same time, IHS Markit Ltd. data show that bets against the fund have risen, with short inter...
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Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF Stock Discussion
So, what trading strategies can be considered for different rate cut scenarios?
1. Basic Logic: Interest Rates as the "Gravitational Pull" of Asset Prices
Interes...
1.1 Characteristics of U.S. Extended Duration Treasury ETFs
U.S. Extended Duration Treasury ETFs primarily invest in long-term Treasury bonds, with maturities typically exceeding 20 years, and in some cases, over 30 years. Here are their main characteristics:
High Sensitivity: Due to the...
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The $39 billion iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF ( $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ ) has lost 48% from its 2020 all-time high and is trading at its lowest point since 2011, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. At the same time, IHS Markit Ltd. data show that bets against the fund have risen, with short inter...
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