Asia-Pacific Markets Set to Open Lower After Trump's Attack on Fed Chair Sends Wall Street Tumbling
The US dollar plummets, Emerging Markets make a strong comeback: the Thai baht and Jilin soar, and the Indian stock market rises for five consecutive days!
After recording the largest weekly increase in six weeks last week, the Emerging Markets Currency Index continued to rise this Monday, with the Thai Baht and Malaysian Ringgit showing strong performance, both increasing by 1% in a single day. Over the past month, the Thai Baht has appreciated by a cumulative 3.2% against the US dollar, marking a significant upward trend. The five-day increase of the India Nifty 50 Index (5.99%) has set the highest record since February 2021.
UBS Global strategy: What do USA tariffs mean for Emerging Markets Crediting?
A key channel for the deterioration of Crediting expectations in Emerging Markets is exports.
On Trump's "first day," Emerging Markets faced difficulties, setting several records.
The opening price of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index based on expected PE is 46% lower than the S&P 500 Index, marking the largest gap since Obama's first inauguration in 2009; the average yield of local currency bonds in Emerging Markets is also lower than the yield of USA Treasuries. Analysis indicates that due to USA policy actions, a strong dollar, and high USA interest rates, Emerging Markets stocks are underweighted by investors.
The "big trouble" Trump is coming, and Emerging Markets stock indices have fallen into a Range adjustment.
As of this Thursday, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index has dropped 10% from its high three months ago. According to Bank of America, during the week ending November 13 of last year, following the USA elections, there was a total outflow of 7.5 billion USD from Global Emerging Markets Stocks Fund, marking the largest weekly outflow in a decade.
WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Fund Declares Quarterly Distribution of $0.1999
