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Gold Outlook: Record Highs on Ice as Bearish Signals Build
Gold has come to a sudden stop, long positions have drastically decreased, and analysts warn that the trend has diverged from the fundamentals.
Barclays strategist Stefano Pascale stated that the surge in Gold Call Options after Trump's tariffs, leading to an inverted skew indicator, coupled with a sharp reduction in hedge fund long positions and the recent pullback in Gold prices, are all reasons to adopt a cautious outlook on Gold prices in the short term. The movement of Gold has already "decoupled" from the "fundamental drivers" such as the US dollar and real interest rates.
Gold Falls Globally: US$ -1.29%, RM -1.34%
Is there a warning of a bullish-bearish reversal in the Options market? Cracks are appearing in the myth of Gold's surge?
This month, Gold's upward trend surpasses all major asset classes, as Trump's tariff war reshapes the Global economic order, with safe-haven funds continuously pouring into the gold market. However, changes in Options positions are causing some market observers to remain cautious.
The rise and subsequent fall of Gold has raised concerns about a peak, while Silver may welcome a corrective rally.
For investors who missed the recent rise in Gold, Silver may be an attractive option.
Options -- The Striking Price: How to Win If Gold Moves Higher or Takes a Plunge -- Barron's
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