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"Debt ceiling" causes trouble! The U.S. Treasury Department's borrowing expectations for Q2 increase threefold, excluding the impact, borrowing decreases instead of increasing.
The U.S. Treasury announced on Monday that the estimated net borrowing for the second quarter is 391 billion dollars higher than expected in February, due to Congress not yet raising the federal debt ceiling, and the initial cash reserves at the beginning of the second quarter being far lower than previously anticipated. The Treasury stated that if the cash balance at the beginning of the season is not taken into account, the estimated borrowing for the second quarter is actually 53 billion dollars lower than the forecast made in February. Some analysts believe this is because DOGE is indeed having an effect, improving the fiscal situation and reducing financing demand.
Besent's new bond issuance strategy: short-term bonds "steady", long-term bonds "gradual", closely monitoring stablecoin "major investors".
On Wednesday, the USA Treasury will announce the bond auction scale for the quarter from May to July. The market expects the Treasury to continue issuing bonds at the established pace, with next week's quarterly redemption auction expected to remain around 125 billion dollars. Some believe the market may interpret this as the Treasury being more inclined to rely on short-term bonds, which is a positive signal for long-term bonds.
Barclays Affirms Long 5-Year U.S. Treasury Recommendation -- Market Talk
Opening: US stocks opened slightly higher on Monday. This week the market focuses on Earnings Reports and economic data.
On the evening of April 28, Peking time, U.S. stocks opened slightly higher on Monday. Over 180 S&P component stocks, including Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and Meta, will release their Earnings Reports this week. Important data such as non-farm employment and GDP will also be released this week. Investors continue to pay attention to the progress of trade negotiations. China has once again clarified that there are no negotiations or discussions on tariff issues between China and the U.S.
U.S. stock index futures slightly lower as the busiest week of Earnings Reports season approaches | Highlights for tonight.
①IBM plans to invest 150 billion USD in the USA over the next five years; ②MicroStrategy increased its shareholding by 15,355 Bitcoins last week; ③Rating agencies have downgraded the outlook for US ports to negative; ④Reports: Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance are scrambling to purchase computing power resources.
The U.S. Treasury's quarterly "debt issuance" plan will be announced this week, and analysts expect Bessenet to "seek stability."
Wall Street expects Bessent to adopt a safe strategy for the issuance plan of U.S. Treasury bonds following the market turmoil.
